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When people stop going is when production will slow down. Even if prices were under $10 for a regular ticket here, I'd still skip the majority of the superhero films that are coming out.
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[QUOTE=CSTowle;900191]I see a decline in popularity at some point, but given the reduced cost for CGI and the wealth of properties to exploit I can't see it going away completely. It'll eventually lose its luster and just become another genre like "Teen Slasher flicks" or "Vampire movies".[/QUOTE]
This is what I think also. Superhero movies will never go away. It will become a genre like Westerns, Sci-Fi, and so forth. They will always be around.
Honestly if anything will burst it will be the shared-universe concept. Universal did the same concept in the 1940's by having Dracula in the same movie with Frankenstein or the Wolf Man. That lasted maybe a little over a decade. The problem Marvel is going to face is what happens when someone like RDJ doesn't want to play his character anymore. It won't be like replacing James Bond because James Bond's character isn't tied into another movie's franchise, and the movie studio doesn't need to try to pump out the Bond character in movies almost every year. When an actor for Iron Man, Captain America or whoever gets replaced, it will be easily noticeable to the public, and I imagine will be more scrutinized unlike taking a franchise (Spider-Man, Batman) and rebooting it.
I do think the Superhero movie popularity will decrease before 2020 due to over saturation. It won't be because of a random movie by DC or some other company. I personally have already lost some interest in the current superhero movies, and I already have little interest in seeing the new Avengers movie or Ant Man. The movies may eventually not be as popular or attract the same type of excitement, but they will always be around.
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I agree with some of the sentiments here. Superhero movies have become a genre like westerns. So they aren't going anywhere. The shared universe is going to become a problem though. Contracts are going to expire, and I think after infinity war we'll see a New Avengers movie with Black Panther, Captain Marvel, Dr. Strange and one of the inhuman royal family, either Crystal or Medusa.
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[QUOTE=Darrell D.;900450]DC had two bombs with Watchmen and Green Lantern, and super-hero movies are still here.
It's like asking when the comedy movie bubble will burst.
"Super-hero/fantasy" has become an established genre.[/QUOTE]
Comedies are cheap to make.
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[QUOTE=PLG1962;899375]I too think a superhero film will come out and it will just bomb i'm leaning more towards a DC than Marvel one but really either/all which will kill the Golden Goose Superhero genre for a while[/QUOTE]
[QUOTE=Darrell D.;900450]DC had two bombs with Watchmen and Green Lantern, and super-hero movies are still here.
It's like asking when the comedy movie bubble will burst.
"Super-hero/fantasy" has become an established genre.[/QUOTE]
Yeah DC's already weathered bombs in big movies like GL and in Catwoman. It didn't stop Marvel any.
But I am wondering win/if the Marvel bubble will burst. Or which will be the Marvel bomb?
Even if there is one I think Disney has the money to keep cranking them out, they didn't fold after Prince of Persia or Lone Ranger.
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Marvel has three series ready to go on Netflix, and Agents of SHIELD on ABC.
DC has Constantine, Arrow, and The Flash, and Supergirl ready to go for television.
Live action super-heroes are firmly part of the media genre.
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They are not going anywhere soon. After Green Lantern, naysayers were abundant. They were all wrong. Comic book movies are here to stay. They will have ups and downs but, are here for the long haul. There might be adjustments and slowdowns though. That is why they must do it right. Especially with the large production spending.
Civil War is too soon. We need many more characters. It was not meant for 8 heroes. But, 30 or 40. Be patient. Wait a round or two Marvel Studios. Cap 3 is too soon. No one wants a big 5 year slowdown followed by more reboots!
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Yeah, the superhero genre will survive any bubble burst, same as the mobster movie genre has ebbs and flows. In regards to the oversaturation point (which will burst the bubble for a little while ... like 5 years or so before it starts up again) I'd say by the time cinematic AVENGERS finally deal head-on with Thanos as the clear-cut big bad of the movie, whatever movie that winds up being.
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The superhero film, once a subgenre of action/adventure, has become a genre unto itself. I don't foresee it's "bubble bursting" anytime soon. It will eb and flow in popularity like any film genre, but I think it has proven time and again that it will endure. The success along multiple platforms (film, television, animation, gaming etc) ensures it's place as the zeitgeist of modern popular culture. I look at something like Guardians of the Galaxy in particular, which was a huge gamble in many aspects, but managed to meet, exceed and crush all expectations. I don't even think we've seen the current wave "peak" yet. Perhaps around the time of Justice League and Infinity War, but I stopped fearing the dropping of the ball a long time ago. Comic movies are here to stay, a statement I have much faith in. And I couldn't be happier.
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Everyones already pretty much explained how it likely wont go away entirely. It is starting to feel like there are 'too many', but at the same time I am very happy were getting all of these big budget films in the first place. Never in a million years did I think we would get a Watchmen, Superman vs Batman, Iron man, Avengers, etc.
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I think it's possible that this bubble will burst in the way the western bubble burst decades ago, and the romantic comedy bubble essentially burst. Even if it were to happen, we'll still see good superhero movies, but it won't be to the extent of the last few years.
These films are high budget, and several studios are aiming to make several each year. So Disney, Warner Brothers, Fox and others might end up cannibalizing the market.
It is worth noting that Marvel/ Disney have been savvy, creating a brand pretty similar to Pixar with a diverse array of films (Guardians is sci fi, Thor is fantasy, etc.) so they might keep the genre alive until 2020.
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The characters wont ruin it...the people behind the scenes will. Heads will get too big. Companies will hire friends instead of talent. We know best sentiment.
Like everything else/