All-purpose news and politics thread: Two Steps Beyond!(Part II)

[PaulBullion]

Democrats didn't throw Al Gore under the bus when he lost to Bush, he was allowed to become their loudest voice on environmental matters. John Kerry became Secretary of State and nobody blinked. Both had been relentlessly demonized by the GOP and painted as losers and liars and unrelatable by the right wing media.

Yet Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi need to go home and knit.

Think about that.

[Darkspellmaster]

Democrats didn't throw Al Gore under the bus when he lost to Bush, he was allowed to become their loudest voice on environmental matters. John Kerry became Secretary of State and nobody blinked. Both had been relentlessly demonized by the GOP and painted as losers and liars and unrelatable by the right wing media.

Yet Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi need to go home and knit.

Think about that.

Not only that, but more recently, Duckworth got attacked for her vote regarding the military, but no one says s damn word when it comes to any of the former Male officers that voted in the same way as her.

It's like people want a woman to fit in one of those Russian dolls, be strong but be motherly, stand up but also not too much, etc.

[WestPhillyPunisher]

Democrats didn't throw Al Gore under the bus when he lost to Bush, he was allowed to become their loudest voice on environmental matters. John Kerry became Secretary of State and nobody blinked. Both had been relentlessly demonized by the GOP and painted as losers and liars and unrelatable by the right wing media.

Yet Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi need to go home and knit.

Think about that.

Hillary was a two-time loser who, interference or not, ran a poor campaign in 2016 while Pelosi captained the ship that allowed Donald Fucking Trump, THE most unfit, unqualified and unscrupulous candidate EVER to become president. Yeah, there's a double standard, I won't deny that, but, at the same time, those two should go away.

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Here's all the more reason to vote blue next month. Because EVERYTHING hinges on it: your health, your vote, your faith in the law, perhaps your very LIFE:

You Think The GOP Is Extreme Now? It’ll Be Worse If They Win In November.

The Republicans’ last-ditch campaign message before the midterms has gone exactly where you might have expected: trying to instill sheer terror of what Democratic control of one branch of government might bring. The president’s auxiliary super PAC raises the ominous specter in a closing ad: “violence,” “socialism” and “undefended open borders.”

Far more real are the catastrophic prospects of another two years of total GOP control. If Republicans squeak by in both chambers and have another two-year runway to do whatever they want, to grab whatever they can and to rig the 2020 election, we don’t have to imagine what will happen.

They have already told us.

Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security will be gutted.
Just this week, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) reopened the quest for the holy grail of Republican government: cutting Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security to pay for tax cuts for their donors. He called the rising deficits caused by the Republican tax cuts “disturbing” and instead placed the blame on “entitlements.”

The ACA will be repealed (and yes, that includes protections for pre-existing conditions).
In one of the most bizarre political spectacles in memory, Republican members of Congress are desperately trying to convince voters that they cherish protections for people with pre-existing conditions, and they pretend to be indignant that anybody would suggest they ever voted against those protections.

Rule of law will continue to be corrupted.
For Donald Trump, corruption and attacks on the rule of law have been like breathing, and surviving the midterms unchecked will be the longest, deepest, most relieved breath he’s ever taken. The corruption will balloon, and any accountability will shrivel.

Immigrant children will be traumatized as a “deterrent.”
Despite bogus protestations to the contrary, the Trump administration did indeed have a child separation policy, and it was indeed intended to provoke such shock and trauma that no family from any “shithole country” would dare set foot in America again.

The 2020 election will likely be rigged.
Trump has been advertising it since the days after he was elected: He will support every possible means of suppressing the minority vote in the name of fictitious widespread “voter fraud.”

I don't give a even half a shit if Democrat candidates don't meet the purity standards of some here, vote for them, dammit, then bitch later! If we don't stop Republicans from winning the midterms, ALL OF US are going to wind up royally fucked, and that's no hyperbole.

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‘He’s My Kind Of Guy’: Trump Celebrates Congressman Who Body-Slammed Reporter

“He’s a great guy, a tough cookie,” the president said of GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte. Coming on the heels of the horrific murder of Jamal Khashoggi, those ugly comments were grossly uncalled for. And, of course, the gutless Republican cowards in Congress won't say a goddamn thing. Meanwhile....

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Twitter Explodes After ‘Psychopath’ Donald Trump Cheers Body-Slamming Of Reporter

The president’s comments were criticized as “shocking and chilling.” People would say Trump should know better, problem is, he does, and doesn't give a fuck. His hatred for the media makes his ugliness all too easy to understand.

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Putin Hails Sunset of U.S. Global Domination Due To Mounting ‘Mistakes’

“Luckily this monopoly is disappearing. It’s almost done,” the Russian president said in his annual foreign policy speech. And Bad Vlad had a hand in that by helping put Donald Trump in the White House to commit those 'mistakes'.

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Trump Tower Board Sues Estate Of Resident Who Died In Building Fire

Art collector Todd Brassner had declared bankruptcy and was having a difficult time selling the condo, according to friends. Words simply fail me.

[numberthirty]

Hillary was a two-time loser who, interference or not, ran a poor campaign in 2016 while Pelosi captained the ship that allowed Donald Fucking Trump, THE most unfit, unqualified and unscrupulous candidate EVER to become president. Yeah, there's a double standard, I won't deny that, but, at the same time, those two should go away.

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Make no mistake...

If Gore and Kerry had paved the road to Trump being President and the Republican party having Congress sewn up?

They would already have found a way to get those two out of the spotlight.

[PaulBullion]

You have ot be within the margin of error to be accurate, not outside it. Anything outside the margin of error is an outlier.

Love and respect you, Tami, but as somebody who had to take quite a few statistics classes in college, that made me cringe.

The margin of error of any poll depends on the sample size and indicates a confidence interval: Usually it states that the actual result (if one polled the entire population instead of just part of it) would be within the range given (i.e. something like +/- 4 percentage point) with a likelihood of 95 or 98 percent.

It gets more complicated in election polls because every polling company uses a different model to guess what the voter turnout is going to be, and what kinds of voters will be most energized. That is one factor causing the so called "house effect" for pollsters, for honest, non partisan pollsters it should be the only one. Then you have companies like Rasmussen, who also use things like wording or suggestive questions to influence the poll results.

[PaulBullion]

Make no mistake...

If Gore and Kerry had paved the road to Trump being President and the Republican party having Congress sewn up?

They would already have found a way to get those two out of the spotlight.

Yes, because George W. Bush was an acceptable president who did not commit war crimes and killed countless civilians.

Madness.

[Tami]

Democrats didn't throw Al Gore under the bus when he lost to Bush, he was allowed to become their loudest voice on environmental matters. John Kerry became Secretary of State and nobody blinked. Both had been relentlessly demonized by the GOP and painted as losers and liars and unrelatable by the right wing media.

Yet Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi need to go home and knit.

Think about that.

I think about that all the time and I find it really annoying.

[Tami]

Love and respect you, Tami, but as somebody who had to take quite a few statistics classes in college, that made me cringe.

The margin of error of any poll depends on the sample size and indicates a confidence interval: Usually it states that the actual result (if one polled the entire population instead of just part of it) would be within the range given (i.e. something like +/- 4 percentage point) with a likelihood of 95 or 98 percent.

It gets more complicated in election polls because every polling company uses a different model to guess what the voter turnout is going to be, and what kinds of voters will be most energized. That is one factor causing the so called "house effect" for pollsters, for honest, non partisan pollsters it should be the only one. Then you have companies like Rasmussen, who also use things like wording or suggestive questions to influence the poll results.

Okay, my wording was sloppy, but what you said was my intention. I just said it poorly.

I have studied Statistics as well and I do work with statistics regularly, only just don't ask me to give a lecture on them to anyone.

[Tami]

How America’s top CEOs are spending their own money on the midterm elections

Company executives often steer clear of any appearance of partisanship, in large part because they don’t want to alienate customers and investors who back the other side.

About 100 CEOs whose companies are components of the S&P 500 have been willing to fly a markedly Democratic or Republican flag in their political giving as individuals during the current election cycle, however.

MarketWatch gathered data on political contributions by those chief executives between Jan. 1, 2017, and Aug. 31, 2018, and has compiled a searchable database that shows the total money spent and the partisan breakdown, listing every contribution made by a CEO and reported to the Federal Election Commission (scroll to the bottom of this article to search the database). Anyone who held the CEO job at any S&P 500 SPX, -1.44% component company in the 2017-18 period is included.

[PaulBullion]

NYPD Arrests First Proud Boys Member For Rioting

[SuperiorIronman]

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Trump Tower Board Sues Estate Of Resident Who Died In Building Fire

Art collector Todd Brassner had declared bankruptcy and was having a difficult time selling the condo, according to friends. Words simply fail me.

The only reason they want 90,000$ is because Trump is fundraising and so far he only has enough to develop a small movie. To put that into perspective, The Predator was developed with, and has made more money than Trump has being president. It also costs somewhere around a billion dollars to 3 billion to perform a successful campaign. To say nothing of it, he's reaching. He's desperate to launch another campaign and without the NRA who now lacks major backing due to losing insurance coverage, simply doesn't have enough money to make a large contribution.

Now Trump could cover it himself, but Trump's networth is something around 3 billion dollars meaning if he loses, he's lost a significant amount of money. He wont do that.

[Kirby101]

The only reason they want 90,000$ is because Trump is fundraising and so far he only has enough to develop a small movie. To put that into perspective, The Predator was developed with, and has made more money than Trump has being president. It also costs somewhere around a billion dollars to 3 billion to perform a successful campaign. To say nothing of it, he's reaching. He's desperate to launch another campaign and without the NRA who now lacks major backing due to losing insurance coverage, simply doesn't have enough money to make a large contribution.

Now Trump could cover it himself, but Trump's networth is something around 3 billion dollars meaning if he loses, he's lost a significant amount of money. He wont do that.

If Trump runs in 2020, he will have no problem raising all the money he needs from corporations and billionaires he gave a massive tax cut to. He will also get money from foreign entities funneled through shell organizations, like he did last time.

[PaulBullion]

https://news.yahoo.com/julian-castro...193648726.html



[Castro and The others are all considering to be in the race for 2020 presidential elections]

Well, the list doesn't look good or promising.

If a strong and promising democratic candidate doesn't come out to run in the 2020 elections, then Trump will get re-elected.

The list leaves out Tammy Duckworth. But there are still some good names on that list.

[Iron Maiden]

If Trump runs in 2020, he will have no problem raising all the money he needs from corporations and billionaires he gave a massive tax cut to. He will also get money from foreign entities funneled through shell organizations, like he did last time.

The Koch brothers are holding their noses and starting to accept Trump. So he'll probably get their donations, depending if Trump gets primaried and who that candidate turns out to be. Is Darling Nikki going to be the one to challenge Orange Foolius? And there's the dark money from Super PACs.

[Michael Watkins]

NYPD Arrests First Proud Boys Member For Rioting

but not Gavin McInnes, the **hat who encouraged the violence? too bad.