Bush won a close election. Subsequent investigations established that the Supreme Court decision likely didn't make a difference.Originally Posted by KNIGHT OF THE LAKE
https://community.cbr.com/showthread...re#post1725850
He does have some stuff going for him.
Incumbents typically win reelection, especially when their party has been in the White House for only one term (Jimmy Carter is the only President whose party was kicked out of the White House after just one term in the last 120 years.)
When he ran the first time around, Republicans were suspicious that a guy who was a registered Democrat during the George W Bush presidency might be a secret liberal. Now he has a conservative record on things that matter to the party faithful (judges, taxes, regulatory overreach) in addition to his existing fan-base.
His approval rating was relatively consistent in the low-40s, which was always enough to be credible against a flawed opponent (IE- a Democrat painted as wanting to allow employer-funded health insurance.) And that was before the Mueller report removed some of the worse-case scenarios from voters' minds.
A recent political trend is that Democrats have stopped dominating in special elections, which suggests that what happened in the midterms doesn't necessarily prove that voters want Democrats want voters in charge.
https://politicalwire.com/2019/03/20...lection-magic/
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/...ection-1230495
Consumer confidence is also high. 71 percent think the economy's in good shape.
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/trum...2020-democrats
There have been no major crises. And Democrats are taking some unpopular positions (in favor of late-term abortion, etc.) heading into the next presidential race.
There are a lot of unknowns. The Southern District US Attorneys might find something, as could the New York Attorney General. Trump might react poorly to some kind of national crisis. A Democratic presidential candidate could navigate through the divides in the primary, and avoid taking positions that freak out the center or alienate major voting constituencies. But it's certainly possible for an incumbent President to win a second term, especially when he just got good news following an investigation.
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03-25-2019, 02:48 PM #13816Ultimate Member
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Sincerely,
Thomas Mets
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03-25-2019, 02:58 PM #13817Ultimate Member
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The goalpost wasn't "Trump called Mexicans murderers and rapists." It was "Trump called all Mexicans murderers and rapists." Originally Posted by Tuck
This is probably one of his happiest days. Originally Posted by BeastieRunner
He said McCain did the right thing. Originally Posted by BeastieRunner
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...=.9c94dbf270f2
Do you have another link?Sincerely,
Thomas Mets
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03-25-2019, 03:11 PM #13818Astonishing Member
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Thats the same bullshit as "Well you see the Alt-right arent Nazis because their not from Germany in the 40s" Originally Posted by Mister Mets
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03-25-2019, 03:13 PM #13819Ultimate Member
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According to a Fox News poll both Biden and Sanders would defeat Trump if the election were held today. And that’s coming from a most definitely biased poll.
https://thehill.com/campaign-polls/4...-fox-news-poll
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03-25-2019, 03:25 PM #13820Invincible Jersey Ninja
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In other words, almost anyone but Biden and Sanders. Originally Posted by Robotman
Original join date: 11/23/2004
Eclectic Connoisseur of all things written, drawn, or imaginatively created.
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03-25-2019, 03:33 PM #13821BANNED
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Turns out that Avenatti’s co-conspirator was also a CNN legal contributor and...Jussie Smollet’s lawyer.
You can’t make this stuff up
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03-25-2019, 03:34 PM #13822Ultimate Member
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Not quite. There was a very specific claim, and I'm guessing this distinction was intentional. Originally Posted by jetengine
There are ways to respond to a specific claim and noting the problems with it. But it is factually correct to say that Trump never claimed that all Mexicans are rapists.
I understand exaggeration is common in arguments about politics, but it usually doesn't make anyone look reasonable and informed if they're saying something that's clearly wrong, even if there is arguably an underlying truth. It's better to just articulate the underlying truth.
Biden would win. Originally Posted by Robotman
Sanders wins the popular vote by three, which might not be enough to win the electoral college.
Warren and Harris both lose the popular vote.
Another obvious point is that the election won't be held today. It'll be after a general election campaign and greater scrutiny.Sincerely,
Thomas Mets
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03-25-2019, 04:21 PM #13823Invincible Member
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Jeez... Yeah. Originally Posted by BeastieRunner
This guy is trying to give DMX a run for the money.
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03-25-2019, 04:45 PM #13824Horrific Experiment
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I call it the "some, I assume, are good people" deflection. Originally Posted by jetengine
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03-25-2019, 05:06 PM #13825Invincible Jersey Ninja
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03-25-2019, 05:27 PM #13826Unadjusted Human on CBR
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Trump maybe circulating a shit memo where TV reporters will laugh at him more , but McConnell is now blocking the Mueller Report from going out. So ...yeah folks...there is something there they don't want seen. Hopefully the House sends a middle finger and goes...fuck you turtle boy ...we want that report.
"The story so far: As usual, Ginger and I are engaged in our quest to find out what the hell is going on and save humanity from my nemesis, some bastard who is presumably responsible." - Sir Digby Chicken Caesar.
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03-25-2019, 05:52 PM #13827Ultimate Member
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The house already voted 420-0 to make the entire report public but it doesn't matter since the senate was never going to do that. Originally Posted by SUPERECWFAN1
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03-25-2019, 06:00 PM #13828I am invenitable
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Ok, that seems like a solid list. Let's look at your first one. Originally Posted by Cimmerian
Question: With China establishing trade routes throughout the entire hemisphere and seeking out new trade agreements with nations along those routes, explain how America pulling out of the TPP is a good thing.The Cover Contest Weekly Winners ThreadSo much winning!!
"When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross." - Sinclair Lewis
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03-25-2019, 06:35 PM #13829Really Feeling It!
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https://twitter.com/RMFifthCircuit/s...39754527281153
https://twitter.com/JoshDorner/statu...44715000406016The DOJ’s letter in the affordable care act case in the Fifth Circuit.
https://twitter.com/MEPFuller/status...46984748134400�� �� �� BREAKING: DOJ calls for total invalidation of the ENTIRE Affordable Care Act. This is actually an escalation of their previous position, which only argued for the invalidation of pre-existing condition and other consumers protections.
The same DOJ that decided there was nothing to that obstruction of justice business has also decided that Obamacare is invalid.
Like, the whole thing.
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03-25-2019, 06:47 PM #13830Mighty Member
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Its good for Xi Jinping. Originally Posted by ChadH
