To your first paragraph. In a sense that is very likely and true, but you must understand Carol does not do well when you hit her with high amounts of Energy. It does in fact hurt her now. When Blue Marvel hit Carol with his Energy attacks she went Binary for a few seconds. It stands to reason that Carol can’t contain that much high energy as she used to. As I said before how she hit Legion in current UXM #10 that attack will knock Carol out. Yes, Carol could blitz Storm but I mean Storm reaction is....decent I’m not worried about a blitz. A fog and heavy rain is nice, but Tornadoes and Lightning combined attack is enough to throw Carol off balance. The POINT is, if Storm does anything LESS than her full power? Carol Danvers beats Storm as you say 8-9/10
However, Storm vs Carol Danvers is still a 50/50 fight either of them can easily Win.
Indeed, Carol is good in the Realm of H2H, but she has no skill. It’s exactly as you put it she is a BRAWLER. Storm has experience, Skill and cunningness combined with agility and quick to think of her feet, gives Storm the Win.