Makes me really glad I don't actually know anything about Captain Marvel or have any expectations going into the film. Nothing like being able to enjoy a film (or not) based on its own merits.
Every day is a gift, not a given right.
That is a definite advantage. On the other hand, none of the criticism is really about a preconception of Captain Marvel. It's about not smiling enough, being too SJW (which wouldn't be a bad thing even if it could be shown to be true), or the trailers weren't exciting enough.
I think there's one valid criticism that could be made of the trailers: I don't get any sense of urgency from them. I know aliens are on earth, that they can look like earthlings, but I don't get the impression from the trailers that there's any immediate threat to earth or anywhere else. I'm sure that there is (a big space battle means somebody is threatened) but there's no sense of scale to the threat.
The Elastica music was fun in the latest trailer. Hoping it gets into the film, as well as other contemporary music to the era. Thor: Ragnorok was a pleasant surprise that way.
Yes the trailer is lacking a line about the earth being in grave peril or some kind of giant explosion thing that is about to destroy the earth, that kind of thing. The impression is that the movie is more about the characters than a particular crisis. Not a bad thing necessarily.
Every day is a gift, not a given right.
Now that we're closer to the opening of Captain Marvel, we're starting to get more realistic tracking numbers. Now, they're talking $100 million rather than the enormous $150 million of a few weeks ago that a blogger was predicting.
According to Deadline.com:
https://deadline.com/2019/02/captain...ns-1202557433/
Originally Posted by Deadline.com
It'll be interesting to see how it opens given the disparity in those ultra-early $150+ million projections and the newer, more industry-insider determined $100 million.
Let's recall a couple of things. Fandango and Box Office Pro are not bloggers, and that's where early reports come from. This new article lists no sources at all. Also, historically early tracking numbers from two months out have underestimated actuals, though some movies have under performed.
The deadline article seems to rely on sources within Disney for their information, and Disney had a vested interest in low balling the expectations, so the sourcing isn't exactly credible.
I do think Captain Marvel is in a somewhat inadventageous position, in that it has to share it's hype with Avengers End Game.
That said, I'm more than sure it will fine at least fine if not better than fine. All the marvel movies pretty much do at this point.
I don't think it will beat Aquaman's domestic or WW haul but I do think it will beat the opening weekend of AM. Tend to believe it will open somewhere between 80-95M. Will be interesting to see how CM will open and finish. Trailer hasn't really impressed me and I haven't heard any big buzz among those who watch MCU films. It's always a 'Meh' reaction.
The real question will be the dropoff between the opening weekend and the second one. Will CM gather steam or just hold steady? I'm beginning to suspect this is going to be one of those sleeper hits that builds momentum the longer its in theaters. Like GotG was.
Prove me wrong!
Every day is a gift, not a given right.
I posted this earlier it has no week two competition so will stay strong for two weeks than fall to 2nd place on week three when US comes out fall to 3rd or 4th week four when Shazam and Pet Semetery an get knocked out of the top five when Hellboy comes out. It could get a bit of s resurgence when Endgame comes out but that's about it IMO it will likely do at least 675 to 800 million unless really bad which I don't think it will be.
Logical and plausible. It has two free weeks to make a splash. The totals for the second week will be a big determinant in how tight things are through those stages you mention. CM could be disasterous, for instance, if it drops a ton during its second week. Might never recover with all those other movies coming down the pike.
Every day is a gift, not a given right.