Usually a 200 million dollar movie would need to reach 500 million at the box office to become profitable (depending on the marketing spend). As we likely won't get any official Disney+ numbers besides the opening weekend it will be impossoble to know the total number but with a 90 million opening an end result of 500 million seems out of the question for Jungle Cruise.
On the other hand depending on its China result BW could reach that mark barely when Disney+ money is added. But the next question is how much these movies usually make on subsequent home entertainment releases as that revenue is also diminished by the day and date release.