I’m talking about the surge of uneducated white voters in the swing states in 2016 and I’m referring to the current swing state average. The polls underrepresented the uneducated white voters in the battleground states and that’s why the 2016 polls in those states were fairly inaccurate.
Biden is currently leading in almost all the battleground states and in Wisconsin a ABC/Washington Post Poll (an A rated pollster) came out today that has Biden up by 17 points. Biden leads by around 8-9 points in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Even if there are “unaccounted for voters”, that shouldn’t lead to a swing of 8%-9% in the final vote count. In addition, Clinton’s lead over Trump was pretty much collapsing at this point in 2016 because of the Comey revelation, that simply isn’t the case this year as Biden has maintained his lead throughout the election cycle.
That’s why I said modern polling as we know it is done if Trump should win despite his apparent massive statistical disadvantage. There would be too “much wrong” this time to ever take them seriously again.