Quote Originally Posted by Mister Mets View Post

Montana was pretty conservative to begin with. Trump won the state 56.8% to 41.41%, so even if one district is a little more conservative, most methods of sorting the state will result in two districts that usually go for Republicans.

There is a bit of a question of what type of Californians are moving to Montana. It may be that more conservative Californians are moving to this state, while progressives would prefer Nevada or the cities of Texas.
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Montana elected a democratic governor four years ago. Montana has a democratic US senator. Jon Tester has been the only member of the Democratic Party to hold statewide office in Montana. Senator Tester is not as conservative as Joe Manchin.

Montana did vote for Bill Clinton.