It seems absurd to insist on a firm commitment before a candidate is vetted.
It's going to be a standard nomination. Democrats have a narrow majority, and there's no filibuster for Supreme Court candidates.
Breyer is expected to stick around until the end of the term in June, and by all accounts he doesn't seem happy that the news leaked.
https://theweek.com/supreme-court/10...s-leaked-today
If counties secede, that can lead to even more trouble, because it's no longer about the borders between states, but borders between counties.
Most counties are not going to be able to produce everything they need, which is going to lead to a lot of problems (IE- dependence on another county for power/ water production) to say nothing of the federal government taking its property back.
I think Harris is a weak contender, but has a very strong hand to run for President.
It would be tough for any Democrat to beat Harris in a primary, considering the institutional advantages of sitting Vice Presidents, the optics of running against the first woman of color elected to national office, and the punishing delegate math given the strength of African-American Democratic primary voters.
I suspect she would be a weaker general election candidate than someone like Klobuchar, but she would still have a shot at winning.
But there doesn't seem to be anyone positioned to beat her in a primary. Buttigieg's main problem last time around was a lack of appeal to minority voters, which will remain a problem if he’s running against the first African-American Vice President. None of the squad have yet to win a statewide primary. Elizabeth Warren finished third in her home state, and seems to have outsized support among some corners of the media.
The biggest risk for Harris is someone new emerging, like if someone wins a big statewide race in Georgia, Florida or Texas, or if someone does something really big (Letitia James convicting Donald Trump within the next year and a half) but even then, anyone running against her will be a major underdog.