If the vote trends hold in Wisconsin and Michigan, Biden wins, Pennsylvania nonwithstanding.
And it's looking like he's got both. Trump losing Arizona was a disaster for him.
If Trump loses then he's done with the WH. The republican base in 2023-24 will prefer a prospective candidate who can give them 8 years rather than a guy who is constitutionally mandated to just fill out a second 4 year term.
And yeah Trump talks about repealing the amendment with POTUS term limits but a constitutional amendment, one way or another is not going to happen without overwhelming support from both parties.
Not necessarily.
We've been awake most of the night and we've seen the vote count swing very heavily towards Biden.
Particularly in the last few hours. It looked like a Trump blow out but make no mistake with Arizona and Wisconsin possibly flipped, Trump's only way of winning this election is picking up Pennsylvania and Michigan. But we've seen the vote count in Michigan tighten up and is likely Biden will take the lead there before the day is done.
The only outstanding votes left in Wisconsin are in Kenosha, and those aren't going to fall into the GOP's column. Green Bay added to Joe's lead.
Michigan is now tied, and the remaining ballouts outstanding are not gonna tilt it for Trump.
The bigger areas of concern are now: Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.
Biden might actually win Georgia, and is at this point, actually favored to do so.
There's a reason that Trump wants to run it to the Supreme Court. He wants the stacked court to save him.
The thing is... I'm not sure they care about him. They got what they wanted. He is, in fact, expendable to them.
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...76110510657539
1) Biden is well on his way to flipping MI & WI (in addition to AZ & #NE02) and is doing well enough in PA's completed counties to be on track to win there
2) Polls (esp. at district-level) have rarely led us more astray & it's going to take a long time to unpack
What I will find most poetic about Biden wining is that a timeline of story circle would be complete with a good ending.
Trump tried to de-legitimise Obama's presidency with the birther nonsense, it will be the ultimate poetic justice that Trump got beaten by Obama's vice president.
My issue with Trump and why I want him to loose was never about politics. It was very personal.
Last edited by Castle; 11-04-2020 at 06:22 AM.
A few random thoughts waking up this morning to the inevitable news that we do not in fact have a declared winner...
- It tells me a lot that, despite the prevalent feeling by Democrats and the left that Trump is an awful person who was and even worse president, this race will likely take weeks to sort out before an actual winner is declared. Given what's transpired over the past year, should this have even been close?
- In staying with the prior point, a major part of the issue is that after 4 years from the biggest election upset in United States history, the best two candidates the Democrats could put forward were Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden. The latter represents the old guard and business as usual, whereas the former represents extreme socialism.
- Biden has to hope the remaining 10% of votes remaining to be counted in Michigan swing his way and he holds on to the states in which he currently has a lead to force the issue to Congress, OR he has to hope for those things and a turnaround in the remaining votes in Pennsylvania.
- What this vote tells me is that despite however people feel regarding the pandemic and how it's been handled, there's a substantial portion of Americans who want things to return to normal even with the risk of infection and Trump represents the probability of that for them.
Anyone got a link to an election results/updates page that's better than Google?
"I should describe my known nature as tripartite, my interests consisting of three parallel and disassociated groups; a) love of the strange and the fantastic, b) love of abstract truth and scientific logic, c) love of the ancient and the permanent. Sundry combinations of these strains will probably account for my...odd tastes, and eccentricities."