Year 1 is looking like Monti Ossenfort & Jonathon Gannon are working on house money. They would have to be embarrassingly inept, losing week after week and BADLY to get fired. Including against all those "winnable" games I listed.
I think their ceiling is 6, 7 wins tops this year. Floor should be 2 or 3. They'll probably land at 5-12 or 4-13.