I agree Abrams is non-starter. I think people continue to undervalue Harris as an asset, especially since there is no evidence of “serious resentment” by POC towards her. Indeed, she, like Abrams, had a net approval rating of thirty percent from black folks. No other candidate, especially those like Warren, get close. As for states, I think the research also shows that picking a candidate based on geography is not a great strategy for success. You need a candidate that can increase interest among the blocs needed. I think evidence suggests Abrams and Harris are actually the two strongest positioned candidates to do that.
I agree about Klobuchar. Plus, she really emphasizes her appeal to the same demographic that Biden was not only successful with, but sold people on his candidacy by insisting he could take those folks back. It would be doubling down on his existing strength.But even those two are like mediocre. Klobuchar is Tim Kaine 2.0. Not charismatic. Whitmer is okay but I don’t know how much she really added in tangibles
I think Whitmer has more positives, but I think she will get dinged for lack of experience and ability to “step into” the role on day one. Plus, I doubt Democrats want to potentially lose a swing state Governor when redistricting is coming up next year. I think she might be viable in 2024–but probably not now.
Duckworth could be strong.Duckworth or Warren.
Warren has really poor favor ability outside of the party. Picking her could have the opposite effect of driving people towards Trump if they think that Biden is trending too far towards Warren.
Fair enough. I just think there are strong enough women candidates that it isn’t necessary to look at yet another one that is straight and male.And I still think Castro is a way better pick